Investment
Investment decisions are easy to decorate with models. Argumont compares the proposed use of money with doing nothing, delaying, or a different instrument, and ...
role
Investors need the thesis in pieces
A thesis is a stack of predictions. Argumont is a way to see which pieces are assumptions, which are supported, and what would reverse the call. It is not a buy or sell recommendation.
Argumont is not investment advice and does not replace licensed advisers or fund process.
Diligence is still diligence
Primary documents, expert calls, and legal review remain the work. Argumont helps structure the argument after those inputs exist.
Related pages
Decision calibration
A well-calibrated decision maker who says 70% is right about seven times in ten, in that bucket. Most people are not well calibrated on novel bets.
Defensible decisions
Defensible does not mean nobody disagrees. It means a later adult can see what you compared, what you knew, what you guessed, and what would have changed the ca...
For teams
These pages are for people with different incentives. A founder, a security lead, and a consultant do not need the same speech with the noun replaced.
Stress-test this thesis
Argumont challenges assumptions, researches evidence, compares competing approaches, and identifies the strongest decision.
Stress-test this thesis