Test assumptions
A plan can look robust while resting on two unverified sentences. Argumont extracts those sentences, classifies them, and keeps them inspectable.
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Write the ifs, then try to kill them
Every plan sits on unstated ifs. Testing means you write them, rank them by how much they would change the decision, and gather evidence on the top few.
What it means
Lean startup popularized tests for products. Decision work needs the same habit on strategy, vendors, and hires, not only on experiments.
Why it matters
Untested assumptions are how confident rooms walk into a wall. The wall is usually a customer, a cost, or a timeline.
How to apply it
List assumptions, pick the load-bearing ones, attach evidence, and re-score if they fail.
A common trap
Testing the easy assumptions and leaving the sacred ones untouched.
How Argumont uses this
Assumptions are a claim type. They should not be stored as facts. If one is load-bearing, the verdict should say what would reverse it.
Related pages
Counterfactuals
A counterfactual is an alternate world: if churn did not fall, if the vendor missed the SLA, if the hire left in a year. You score that world too.
Research
Argumont research exists to support or attack claims inside a decision. It is not a generic report writer, and it should not fabricate citations.
Test a strategy
A strategy that cannot name what would reverse it is a brand line. Testing is cheaper than a failed year, and it is more specific than a SWOT grid.
Learn
These articles explain methods Argumont uses in the product. They are education, not a pile of keyword stubs, and not fake news with invented dates.
Test an assumption
Argumont challenges assumptions, researches evidence, compares competing approaches, and identifies the strongest decision.
Test an assumption