Decision confidence
Confidence should fall when evidence is thin, dates are old, or roles disagree. It should not rise because the slide is pretty or the room is aligned.
feature
Confidence that can go down on purpose
Argumont reports confidence as a property of the analysis, not as enthusiasm. Missing evidence and contested claims should pull it down.
What it tracks
Coverage of material claims, disagreement among roles, and sensitivity to load-bearing assumptions. It is not a poll of how much the team likes the option.
Calibration
A single decision cannot prove you are calibrated. Recording outcomes over time is how you check whether those percentages meant anything.
Related pages
Decision calibration
A well-calibrated decision maker who says 70% is right about seven times in ten, in that bucket. Most people are not well calibrated on novel bets.
Outcome tracking
A verdict without an outcome is a bet you never graded. Argumont lets you mark what actually occurred against the original decision.
Decision scoring
A score says this option is stronger on this criterion, given this evidence. If you cannot show the evidence, the score is decoration.
Features
Each feature page describes something the product actually does, including limits. Team sharing beyond a private workspace is called out as future work.
Inspect confidence
Argumont challenges assumptions, researches evidence, compares competing approaches, and identifies the strongest decision.
Inspect confidence