Hold, sell, or reinvest: make every path defend its exit

Hold as is, sell now, renovate or reposition, or refinance and hold. Strategist can add a path the team did not list, and that path has to win on the record like any other.

Occupancy and lease rollover from the rent roll, renovation cost from contractor bids, debt terms from the lender, and sale evidence from the market. A lease-up projection is weighed as a forecast: the room asks what it rests on and what happens to the choice if it misses.

Value opinions come from your appraiser or broker. The Verdict uses only figures the record holds.

Selling and putting the proceeds elsewhere is weighed as seriously as holding, never as a bare no. The same applies to renovation capital: the room compares it with the best other use of that money.

Challenger attacks the leasing assumption behind holding. Wolf looks for the anchor tenant who leaves, the capital item nobody budgeted, and the rate reset at refinancing. Red Teamer runs the sale that takes a year longer than planned.

A Decision Passport with the paths compared, the evidence status of each claim, the Verdict, and what would change it. The Human Decision records who decided and who approved.

We own a 1980s office building at 60% occupancy. Should we hold it, sell it, or renovate it? The room compares all three on cost, timing, exit, and the best other use of the capital, and names the occupancy or bid level that would change the Verdict.